Excessive Rainfall Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1139 AM EDT Sat Apr 5 2025
Day 2
Valid 12Z Sun Apr 06 2025 - 12Z Mon Apr 07 2025

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY...

On Sunday, upper level southern stream energy that had been
supporting the heavy rainfall event over the past 4 days will begin
to interact with a northern stream trough and accelerate
northeastward. This will push the surface cold front across the
southeast, with an axis of high moisture ahead of and along the
front. There should be enough instability and shear to support
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall from the Central Gulf
Coast through Central Alabama and Northern Georgia. Rainfall totals
are expected to reach 2-3+ inches in these areas, and rainfall
rates could challenge FFGs of 2-2.5 inches per hour (although the
3+ inches per 3 hour FFG may be be less likely to be met/exceeded).

Dolan/Bann

Day 2 threat area: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98epoints.txt