Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1252 AM EDT Sun Nov 02 2025

Valid 12Z Sun Nov 02 2025 - 12Z Tue Nov 04 2025

...Unsettled weather to persist across the Northwest and Rockies into
Sunday, with strong winds likely in Montana...

...Temperatures to moderate across the Plains/Midwest/Virginia/North
Carolina after a frosty/freezing start on Sunday...

The general flow pattern becomes increasingly zonal, or west-to east
oriented, with time which will lead to milder/more seasonable conditions
across the Plains, Midwest, and portions of the Appalachians by Tuesday.

The system helping to usher in this milder pattern from the Plains
eastward is producing unsettled weather from the Pacific Northwest to the
northern Rockies, as a cold front and an accompanying plume of moisture
move onshore.  High Wind Warnings remain in effect for portions of Montana
on Sunday due to this system.  A brief period of drier, more settled
weather is expected by late Sunday, before another system brings
precipitation back into the region Monday into Tuesday.  Well-above normal
temperatures are expected across the Southwest and Great Basin, to the
south of the front.  The combination of wind and dryness is expected to
lead to elevated fire weather conditions on Sunday across portions of the
High Plains of Montana (where red flag warnings are in effect), Wyoming,
Colorado, and Nebraska and the southern High Plains on Monday.  The
downsloped winds also brings warmth, which could lead to record highs on
Sunday in and near eastern Colorado.

Ahead of the front, high pressure and dry conditions will dominate much of
the central and eastern U.S., where temperatures will moderate Sunday
after a frosty/freezing start across the portions of the Midwest, Plains,
North Carolina, and southeast Virginia.  The Pacific cold front is
forecast to move steadily eastward, bringing rain to the Great Lakes
region late Sunday into early Monday, before advancing into the Northeast
by late Monday.  To the south, a slow-moving upper-level system will
continue to bring showers and occasional thunderstorms to the Cumberland
Plateau and Southeast on Sunday and then spread rain up portions of the
Mid-Atlantic coast on Monday morning before moisture from the system is
tapped by the incoming Pacific front across New York and New England late
Monday.  In the wake of the front's passage, some showers with snow at
higher elevations are expected across the northern Appalachians early on
Tuesday.

Roth

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php