Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1201 AM EST Mon Nov 03 2025

Valid 12Z Mon Nov 03 2025 - 12Z Wed Nov 05 2025

...Unsettled weather returns to the Northwest & Northern California today,
with an increasing threat for heavy rain for both areas Tuesday into
Wednesday...

...Strong winds for southwest Oregon this afternoon/evening & later on for
coastal sections of northern California late Tuesday into Wednesday...

Increasingly zonal, or west-to-east, flow is expected across the Lower 48
over the next few days. This will broaden the footprint of above to well
above average temperatures with time across the country.  This also favors
wetness/periodic storminess for the Northwest/Northern California due to
onshore flow from the Pacific and dryness due to downslope flow across the
High Plains/Plains.  Any precipitation for the Great Lakes and East should
be modest in amounts.

The wetness across the Northwest will be fostered by the incursion of a
low pressure into the Oregon coast late Monday, which is a strong enough
system to prompt High Wind Warnings for coastal Oregon this afternoon and
evening.  Even though the surface low fades, its trailing front
lingers/wavers near the coast from Northern California northward, keeping
rain in the forecast.  Late Tuesday into Wednesday, a strong cyclone in
the northeast Pacific reinforces the existing front and causes breezy to
windy conditions to renew from northern California northward and brings
the potential for heavier rains.

Downslope flow in the High Plains promises breezy and dry conditions early
this week.  The Southern High Plains could see conditions favorable for
fire weather during the heating of the day today,  On Tuesday, portions of
the High Plains continue have some potential for wildfire risk due to the
continued dry air mass and breezy conditions.  Record high temperatures
are possible for portions of the Texas Panhandle and Northwest Texas due
to the compressional heating afforded by the downslope flow south of a
frontal boundary on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Skirmishes of showers are expected with a couple frontal boundaries today
and late Tuesday into Wednesday across the Great Lakes/New York.  Showers
are expected along the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts with a
surface low moving from offshore the Southeast to southeast of New England
today and tonight.  Its moisture will be tapped by a front moving east
from the Great Lakes, spreading rain across the Northeast tonight.  Higher
elevation snow showers are anticipated for the Northern Appalachians
Tuesday morning.

Roth

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php