Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
355 PM EDT Sat Nov 01 2025

Valid 00Z Sun Nov 02 2025 - 00Z Tue Nov 04 2025

...Unsettled weather to persist across the Northwest and Rockies into
Sunday, with strong winds likely...

...Severe storms possible in southern Texas late today...

...Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories in effect for parts of the central
U.S. and the Mid Atlantic Sunday morning...

Unsettled weather is expected to persist into the second half of the
weekend, stretching from the Pacific Northwest to the northern Rockies, as
a cold front and an accompanying plume of moisture move onshore.
Precipitation will continue overnight, with localized heavy rainfall
possible, particularly in higher elevations. Windy conditions will also
persist, especially across northwestern and central Montana, where gusts
could exceed 60 mph, prompting High Wind Warnings. A brief period of
drier, more settled weather is expected by late Sunday, before another
system brings precipitation back into the region on Monday.

The cold front is forecast to move steadily eastward, bringing rain to the
Great Lakes region late Sunday into early Monday, before advancing into
the Northeast by late Monday.

Ahead of the front, high pressure and dry conditions will dominate much of
the central U.S. Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories are in effect for
much of Missouri, Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma, southeastern Kansas, and
parts of southern Illinois. Clear skies and calm winds will allow
temperatures to drop below freezing Sunday night, marking the end of the
growing season for much of the region. Frost Advisories are also in effect
for portions of New Jersey, eastern Virginia, and central to eastern North
Carolina.

In contrast, well-above-normal temperatures are expected across much of
the western U.S., with a few daily high temperature records possible in
parts of the central High Plains, Rockies, and Southwest on Sunday.

Across southern and coastal Texas, an area of low pressure sliding
southeast will produce showers and thunderstorms later today. Some of
these storms may become strong to severe, with large hail and damaging
winds possible this evening.

Lastly, a slow-moving upper-level system will continue to bring rain and
showers to parts of the lower Ohio and Tennessee valleys into tonight,
before shifting into the Southeast on Sunday.

Pereira

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php