Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
251 PM EST Mon Nov 03 2025

Valid 00Z Tue Nov 04 2025 - 00Z Thu Nov 06 2025

...Unsettled weather returns to the Northwest & Northern California, with
an increasing threat for heavy rain for both areas Tuesday into
Wednesday...

...Strong winds for southwest Oregon this evening & later on for coastal
sections of northern California late Tuesday into Wednesday...

Increasingly zonal, or west-to-east, flow is expected across the Lower 48
over the next few days. This will broaden the footprint of above to well
above average temperatures with time across the country.  This also favors
wetness/periodic storminess for the Northwest/Northern California due to
onshore flow from the Pacific and dryness due to downslope flow across the
High Plains/Plains.  Any precipitation for the Great Lakes and East should
be modest in amounts.

The wetness across the Northwest will be fostered by the incursion of a
low pressure into the Oregon coast this evening, which is a strong enough
system to prompt High Wind Warnings for coastal Oregon this evening.  Even
though the surface low fades, its trailing front lingers/wavers near the
coast from Northern California northward, keeping rain in the forecast. 
Late Tuesday into Wednesday, a strong cyclone in the northeast Pacific
reinforces the existing front and causes breezy to windy conditions to
renew from northern California northward and brings the potential for
heavier rains associated with scattered to isolated thunderstorms.

Downslope flow in the High Plains promises breezy and dry conditions early
this week. On Tuesday, portions of the High Plains continue have some
potential for wildfire risk due to the continued dry air mass and breezy
conditions.  Record high temperatures are possible for portions of the
Texas Panhandle and Northwest Texas due to the compressional heating
afforded by the downslope flow south of a frontal boundary on Tuesday and
Wednesday.

Skirmishes of showers are expected with a couple frontal boundaries
tonight, late Tuesday into Wednesday across the Great Lakes/New York. 
Showers are expected along the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England
coasts with a surface low moving from offshore the Southeast to southeast
of New England tonight.  Its moisture will be tapped by a front moving
east from the Great Lakes, spreading rain across the Northeast tonight. 
Higher elevation snow showers are anticipated for the Northern
Appalachians Tuesday morning.

Kebede/Roth

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php